December 12th, 2014 Print Print Email Email

“The general who advances without seeking fame and retreats without fearing disgrace, whose only thought is to protect his country and do good service for his sovereign, is the jewel of the kingdom.”

Sun Tzu on the Art of War


Over a year ago when the Blue Party was a hot item, I offered my unsolicited advice in public forums (in websites) that the new Blue Party leaders must avoid confrontational relationships with the Government of Ethiopia during their infancy and also avoid contacting Diaspora perpetual agitators. My sole reason for such advice was that the mobilization and consolidation of political power before any form of confrontation is absolutely necessary, and such premature confrontation and/or association with Diaspora opposition groups would severely undermine the growth and strength of any new political party in Ethiopia.

From my past experience and keen observation of the lives of many of our political organizations, I have concluded that such political organizations suffered most from loose membership and poor leadership. They have no real political teeth to bite with to counter the maleficent acts of the Ethiopian Government. It is tragic to watch such political organizations being snapped into pieces by the Ethiopian Government every time they got involved in public demonstrations. Just watch what is happening to the Blue Party and the eight other political organizations that participated in the recent public demonstration of December 6, 2014—most of their leaders are now in detention and awaiting legal process. How would such strategy of flying into a political flame advance our political goals of freedom, law and order, or justice, or economic prosperity, or a combination of all these for all?

In all of Ethiopia’s modern history, I know of no single instance where any political organization coming into power through such political agitation. The one instance that is often mentioned by people is the student movement of the 1960s and 1970s, which did not empower any civilian political organization to acquire power, but led to a disastrous political turmoil resulting in a brutal military regime taking over the Imperial Ethiopian Government and that proceeded to ravage Ethiopia for seventeen years. The student movement after stirring up a hornet nest, which is Ethiopia, only succeeded in paving the way that enabled to roll into power a military dictatorship—a calamity that still endures in the successor present government having metastasized into the degenerative ethnic federal system that is our current Ethiopian political major problem.

I have a mountain of evidence that clearly establishes the type of opposition power grabbing effort that we all are party to, either as silent observers or virulent participators in all kinds of opposition organizations based in foreign countries, did not move us any closer to the seat of power nor enlightened us to be politically savvy in determining our political future. We, in the Diaspora, are still shouting our discontent from street curbs in Western cities, and those who are in Ethiopia occasionally in Addis Ababa and a couple of regional cities, while the current Ethiopian Government is gaining respectability internationally and tremendous economic and military power domestically. And if the EPRDF led Government curbs the effect of the divisiveness of Article 39, neuters ethnic based political structures, roots out corruption, implements good governance, limits the economic exploitations by the likes of Al Amoudi, nationalizes all gold mines, returns huge tract of land leased to scrooges of the world back to the people of Ethiopia, stops the adoption of Ethiopian children in foreign countries, stops the migration of Ethiopian females to Arab countries and elsewhere in the World, it can bring about a truly golden age for Ethiopians and would endure for long.

Supporting Our National Election Rituals – ፈሪ ለናቱ።

The irony of our political reality is such that while Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn was being hosted by the World’s premier economic/industrial power-house, Germany, the Blue Party and its associates were demonstrating in Addis Ababa and their leaders were being brutally rounded up and thrown in detention centers with no impact whatsoever on the visit of Hailemariam nor triggering any protest from the governments of other Western countries. If such opposition groups counted on to be rescued by foreign national governments, they better swallow the bitter truth that no such rescue would happen.

I believe, the leaders of opposition political organizations ought to think very carefully about the effect of their actions on the members of their political organizations and the impact on our Ethiopian public. We must not engage in challenging the Ethiopian Government if the result is simply the exposure of our leaders and members to real dangerous situations of possible detentions, or bodily harm, or even death. One must have a good chance of gaining real political mileage before launching any political demonstration challenging the current Ethiopian Government, especially when the issue involves boycotting national elections. I do not see courage in foolhardy and reckless actions in demonstrations against national elections, where the Ethiopian Government has formidable means to enforce its will. Boycotting a national election does not have as much compelling moral content to gain sympathetic treatment for the Ethiopian opposition groups from the West or anywhere else.

Elections are the simplest and most direct method of establishing and conferring legitimacy on a particular leader. But elections are riddled with treacherous hurdles that drastically undermine the very purpose of holding elections in the first place, in all developing countries. In fact, elections create unrealizable expectations and shift the attention of the population from the fact of the struggle for existence to focus on political demonstrations and short-cut schemes. In Ethiopia, I think the tendency of people is to preserve asset and their energy, which translates on the political stage as dormant population incapable of fighting back or bushing back when squeezed by brutal governmental forces. Such degree of social narcissism undermines any sustained stand against government abuse. The opposition to government oppression and abuse is episodic and erratic in Ethiopia.

It is important that Ethiopians participate in the political life of Ethiopia no matter how narrow that opportunity might be. There can be no meaningful discourse without the input of such Ethiopians. In general, I am skeptical about the short-term value of going through such ritual of elections as a democratic right. However, I find one profound argument in support of such processes, ritual or not. In our local setting, the relevance of election is not so much that it produces immediate tangible results, but that it confirms the idea that citizenship has a serious role in government. In all early stages of democracy, elections are mere rituals, but sooner or later such mere ritual would turn into our political real power exercise. A great example that supports my statement is the Indian experience with democracy, which confirms now the real value of voters. In order to enlarge a small hole it helps greatly if one inserts a device within such hole that to try from scratch.
The error here is the identification of election with liberal democracy, for elections can have meaningful utility in other forms of governments, for example, in constitutional monarchy. What I just stated is not farfetched, considering the many elections conducted in the then USSR, and currently in China, Cuba and several of the dictatorial governments around the world. And such periodic election is not organic but decoy, and as long as we understand the distinction between these two contentions, the better prepared we are to understand elections and use elections effectively. Let us not give undue and highly exaggerated importance to elections. Thus, when we get opportunities to perform such rituals, let us do so by all means.

Some Realty to Ponder

One monumental error of the past that never fails to upset me whenever I think about it is the boycott of the opposition political leaders from assuming their elected respective seats after the 2005 election, therein choosing confrontational-politics when they have neither the manpower nor the moral imperative to snatch power from the EPRDF. “The National Electoral Board released final results in September 2005, with the opposition taking over 170 of the 547 parliamentary seats and 137 of the 138 seats for the Addis Ababa municipal council. Opposition parties called for a boycott of parliament and civil disobedience to protest the election results.”
• The Ethiopian Peoples’ Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) won 296 seats
• The Afar National Democratic Party (ANDP) won 8 seats
• The Somali Peoples Democratic Party (SPDP) won 24 seats
• The Benishangul Gumuz Peoples Democratic Party (BGPDP) won 8 seats
• The Harari National League (HNL) won 1 seat
• The Argoba People Democratic Organization (APDO) won 1 seat

Opposition: total 173 Seats

• Coalition for Unity and Democracy (CUD) won 109 seats
• United Ethiopian Democratic Forces (UEDF) won 52 seats
• Oromo Federalist Democratic Movement (OFDM) won 11 seats
• One Independent Candidate won 1 seat.

One hundred seventy three seats were great building blocks by any standard. That was a monumental improvement from the opposition’s miserable twelve seats of the 2001 election. The 2005 confrontation resulted in the death of hundreds of people who were killed by the Government security forces. And the opposition lost all of its seats by boycotting and confrontations except for one seat, and fractured itself into ineffectual Diaspora groups and a shadow of itself in Ethiopia.

In the last election of 2010 the result was disastrous, there was a single representative from the opposition and a single independent in the House of Representatives. The tragedy will continue as long as our political organizations are led by immature political amateurs who suffer unnecessarily by flying into a political flame. I want you to ponder the consequences of boycotting election by reading carefully the tallying below and the results of 2005 election before boycotting: The Results of the General Election to the House of People’s Representatives elections were held for 547 seats in the House of People’s Representatives in 547 Constituencies
• The Ethiopian Peoples’ Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) won 499 seats
• The Afar National Democratic Party (ANDP) won 8 seats
• The Somali Peoples Democratic Party (SPDP) won 24 seats
• The Benishangul Gumuz Peoples Democratic Party (BGPDP) won 9 seats
• The Harari National League (HNL) won 1 seat
• The Argoba People Democratic Organization (APDO) won 1 seat

Opposition: total 2 Seats

• The Ethiopia Federal Democratic Unity Forum (Medrek) won 1 seat
• One Independent Candidate won 1 seat.

[Official Results of the 23rd May 2010, General Election The National Electoral Board of Ethiopia, June 21, 2010.]
Had the opposition leaders done their homework well, they would have realized that humility and the building of solid political foundation to be far more important than making inflammatory speeches in Western capitals to Diaspora agitators. Had they been astute and politically savvy, they would have laid a good foundation for the political maturity of “opposition” politics and parties, and we would not have been in this predicament of disfranchised individuals. I speculate that had we been wise political leaders, with such solid base of 170 seats, we would have been sharing some power with the EPRDF specially so with the death of Meles Zenawi. Now, because of the wild ambition of some political leaders in the opposition, we lost such golden opportunity and are back to square one, under far more stringent condition (where it seems even an academic criticism of the Constitution is going to be considered a crime) ready to participate in the coming national election. The number of political organizations for the next national election is not firmed up yet, if it is too high it would render any party-based politics meaningless. Some three or four parties would have been effective, and we have to start our journey in order to achieve that great end product of political power.

Conclusion and Recommendations

I recommend for all to listen to the December 1 and 4, 2014 SBS Radio interview of Belay Fekadu, the President of the Unity for Democracy and Justice Party, wherein he expressed eloquently what I think of a great guideline for political participation of oppostion groups. He said among other things, “አንድነት እንደ ፓርቲ እየተከተላ ያለው ስልት ፖለቲካ ምህዳሩን በአግባቡ ፈትሸነዋል። አይተነዋል። የተዘጉ መንገዶች ብዙ ናቸው። እነዚህን ለማስከፈት ትክክለኛው ስልት ምርጫው ዉስጥ መግባት ነው የሚል የጋራ ግንዛቤ አለን። እዚህ ላይ ተመሳሳይ አቋም ነው ያለን።” Here we have a good example of a courageous and wise political leader making strategic long term plan to acquire power through peaceful means using the opportunity open to his party even if that opportunity is tiny. Despite such obvious handicaps, I urge all Ethiopians to participate in this coming national election even if it is a defective process. And I offer to UDJ similar advice I offered over a year ago to the Blue Party: build your membership and political strength before confrontation and demonstrations against the current Ethiopian Government.

If I may paraphrase Abraham Maslow, for any person who is used to using as his tool a hammer, every problem looks like a nail to be hammered in. Thus, until a few years back we, Ethiopian elites, wasted much of our national territorial unity and integrity for nothing, pursuing delusional precept of a “Modern” state on the basis of ethnic federalism, a truly divisive scheme. Recently, I have listened to new apostle of such federalism and the right of secession, presumptuous individuals defending ethnic federalism by equating our Ethiopian case with the structures of a supra national organization like that of European Union. Let us not give that much credence to foreigners even if they swear by the Almighty to be our friends. No one knows better our problems than we Ethiopians do. [Some of the ideas herein in this section are taken from my “Running the Political Gauntlet: The Blue Party and the Diaspora, June 7, 2013.]

It is difficult to change ones ideas especially if one thinks of such ideas to represent universal political values. I do not believe that confrontational political programs would work in Ethiopia. What I see in the political games played out in the last fifty years is the fact that those individuals who are willing to compromise and adopt themselves to changing circumstances are the ones who have succeeded in politics and in the business world. Looking after one’s self-interest is not a bad idea, but much closer to our individual instinct. Let us cooperate with each other first by promoting our individual self-interest before we tackle national political and economic issues. It might well be the beginning of all great political and economic philosophies. Most importantly let us debate the issue of election participation or boycott of the upcoming 2015 Ethiopian national election. Let us examine the advantages and/or disadvantages of participating in that election.

I strongly urge the Ethiopian Government to release all the people along with the leaders of the Blue Party and those from other political organizations who were arrested while demonstrating on December 6, 2015. In writing thus, I am simply trying to deescalate the current volatile political situation. Please, note the fact that I am not in support of the demonstration. I am in favor of participation in the upcoming national elections of 2015.

Tecola W. Hagos
December 12, 2014
Washington DC

  1. Abegaz
    | #1


    on the “HD grew up swearing by Meles’s vision…” Yes that is one of his foolishness. i always recall Mamo kilu book I was taught when I was in grade three. I think HD is anxiously waiting for his pension.


    “It is in that context I evaluate not on his personality.” Aha, your point taken.

    As you know, Ethiopians’ communication skill is sophisticated, be it in the countryside or in cities. A peasant from Wolayita, from where HD emerged, once said to Meles, ‘I want my child to study Amharic, when some government officials have the privilege to send their children to an English school.” Meles was among those guys. This peasant is far better than HD. My choice of Adhanom is more of personality. It is part of leadership. First Adhanom speaks in a manner not embarrassing to Ethiopians. He is far civilized on his talking points. Our forefathers have protocols on how to speak even to their enemies.

  2. አለም
    | #2

    የተኮላን ተልዕኮ ቀስ በቀስ እያወቃችሁ ለመጣችሁ ለበላይነህ, ጋማ ፒንቶ, አንባቢ እና ለማ, ወዘተ, በርቱ እላለሁ:: ተኮላ ዓላማው ከዚህ ቀደም እንዳልኩት ከዋናው ብሔራዊ አጀንዳ ማዘናጋት, እርስበርስ ማጋጨት, ማዋከብና ማወናበድ ነው:: ትላልቅ የሚመስሉ ግን ፍሬ አልባ የሆኑ ጉዳዮችን ሲጠቅስልን በአሳብ ደረጃ ስለማንደርስበት ዝም ሊያሰኘን ነው:: ተኮላ ቅርብ ጊዜ የነፕሮፌሰር አለማየሁን የትምህርት አቅም ሲያጥላላ እንደ ነበር አንብበናል; ይህን የማነሳው እርሱ ስላነሳ ብቻ ነው; ታዲያ የምን ዶክተርና የየት ኮሌጅ ፕሮፌሰር እንደሆነ ለምን አይነግረንም? ወይም ሥራው ምን እንደሆነ ለምን አያስታውቀንም? የዚህ ቁምነገሩ ምንድነው እንል ይሆናል. ቁምነገሩ ተኮላ እንዲሁም ጎበዝ ምሑር ነው, ከታወቀ ዩኒቨርሲቲ [ጆርጅታወን] የሕግ ምሩቅ ነው; ሃርቫርድ በአላሙዲ እርዳታ የሁለት ሴምስተር ኮርስ ተካፋይ ነው; ታዲያ ለምን የሌለውን ማዕረግ ሊጭን ፈለገ? ከሚጽፋቸው ብዙ ጽሑፎች ይልቅ ይኸ ስለ ማንነቱ ብዙ ይናገራል ማለቴ ነው:: ያታልላል:: የተነቃበት እንደሆነ ይሳደባል:: እኔ የፈጠርኩት ሳይሆን ከጽሑፎቹ ውስጥ የሚታይ ነገር ነው:: ስትጽፍ የከረምከውን ጽሑፍ ስትሰራ የኖርከውንና እውነተኛ ማንነትህ እንዳይታወቅ ደበቅህ ሲባል ዌብማስተሬ አደናቅፎኝ ነው ይለናል:: ቀድሞውኑስ ጽሑፉ በእጅህ አይደለም ወይ ማለት የምንችል አይመስለውም:: ከህወሓት ጋር ስታድም ከርመህ ስላልተመቸህ ጥለህ አሜሪካ ገባህ; አሜሪካ ገብተህ ከህወሓት ጋር ያበርክበትን ስትክድ ስትደብቅ ዛሬም ከመሓላችን አለህ; አሁን ደግሞ እዚህ ሆነህ ለሃያ አመት የሰራኸውን ክደህና ደብቀህ መልሰህ በማበር ላይ ትገኛለህ:: እና ከህወሓት ጋር ተስማሙና ምርጫ ላይ ተሳተፉ እንጂ ጥያቄ አታንሱ; ጥያቄ አንስታችሁ ሕገመንግስት እንደሚፈቅደው ሰላማዊ ሰልፍ እንውጣ ብትሉ ህወሓት አይወድም እንዲያውም ቅርብ ጊዜ ባዲሳባ ዩኒቨርሲቲ ተማሪዎች ላይ እንዳደረገው ይደበድባችኋል ያስራችኋል እያለን ነው::

    ተኮላ የድፍረቱ ብዛት 1/ ሕገ መንግስት ያጸናውን መብት ሰላማዊ ሰልፍ ማድረግ ተገቢ አይደለም ይለናል; የሰብዓዊ መብት ጠበቃ ነኝ ሲለን ከርሞ; እስክንድር ይፈታ ግን ከአገር የሚወጣ ከሆነ ብቻ ያለንን አንርሳ 2/ አሁን ደግሞ “ፈሪ ለናቱ” ብሎናል; ህወሓት በፍርሃት እየገዛ እንደሆነ የማያውቅ ተኮላ ብቻ ነው; ለሚያስፈራራ የሰፈር ወደል መድሃኒቱ መፍራትና መሸሽ ወይም የሚለውን ማድረግ ሳይሆን መጋፈጥና ፈሪነቱን መግለጥ ነው:: ብዙ ሰው ችላ ያለውና የዘነጋው ነገር ህወሓት በትልቅ ፍርሃት ላይ መሆኑን ነው:: ለዚህም ነው ትንሿ ጥያቄ የምታርበተብተው; አፋጣኝ ጭካኔያዊ እርምጃ የሚወስደው ተዛምቶ ጉድ እንዳያፈላበት ነው:: የነ ተመስገን ደሳለኝ, የነ ርእዮት, እስንድርና በቀለ ገርባ ታሪክ ከዚህ አይለይም:: በሌላ አነጋገር ያስፈራራ እንጂ ፈሪው ህወሓት ነው! ሕዝብ ብሶቱ አንገቱ ጋ ደርሶበታል:: ተኮላ “በሽብርተኛ ሕግ” እያሰረ ሕዝብ መብቱን ተጠቅሞ ተቃውሞ እንዳያሰማ የከለከለውን መንግስት አትቃወሙ; ይልቅ ተስማምታችሁ ምረጡ ይለናል;

    ተኮላ ከዚህ ቀደም በጻፈው ላይ እንደ ጠቆምኩት በዚህ ወቅት በተለይ በውጭ ያሉ ኢትዮጵያውያን በአገራቸው ጉዳይ ሊሳተፉ ይገባልና ድምጽ አልባ እየተደረጉ ላሉ ዜጎች ድምጽ መሆን ግድ ነው:: ስለ አሰብ ወደብ, ስለ ኤርትራ, ኦሮሚያ, ሞረሽ ወገኔ, አባይ ግድብ ያስፈልጋል ወይ ማለት [እንደሚያስፈልግማ ታውቆ አፄ ኃ/ሥና ደርግ ዕቅዱን አጠናቅቀውታል], ስለ ትግራይ ነጻ አውጪ ማውራት ጊዜ ማጥፋት ብቻ ሳይሆን ማዘናጊያ ነው; የሚቀድም አንገብጋቢ ጉዳይ አለና! በኢኮኖሚና በፖለቲካ ረገድ የሚፈጸመውን ግፍ አሜሪካና እንግሊዝ ሕዝቦችን ማሳወቅ ዋነኛና ተቀዳሚ ነው:: ይኸ ተኮላን ስለሚያስፈራው ወድቆ ተነስቶ ለማዳፈን ይጥራል:: እርሱና ደጋፊዎቹ ስማቸውን እየቀያየሩ ብዙ እንደሆኑ ለመምሰል ሲሞክሩ እያየን ነው:: ዳሩ ግን ክምር ቅጥፈት በቅንጣት እውነት እንደሚናድ ማን ይንገራቸው?!

    የኢትዮጵያውያን ዋነኛ ችግር የነግንቦት 7/ኤርትራ/ዶክተር ብርሃኑ ግራ ጥላቻ, ዓላማየለሽና ፍሬ አልባ የሥልጣን ጥመኛ ፖለቲካ ነው:: ኢሳት የኢትዮጵያ ሕዝብ ታሪኩንና መብቱን አበክሮ እንዲያውቅ ማድረግ ሲገባው እንደ ህወሓት ጥላቻና መረጃ የጎደለው ቅጥፈት ሲያስተጋባ ይደመጣል: ባጭሩ ከአገር ውጭ ያሉ አገር ወዳድ ኢትዮጵያውያን አገር ቤት ቀንለቀን እየተጋፈጡ ላሉ ድጋፍ እንደመስጠት አመራር ለመስጠት ይሞክራሉ:: ለዚያውም ብዙ ችሎታና ብቃት ያላቸው በፍርሃትና በግድየለሽነት አፋቸው ተሸብቦ:: ነገሩ ግን ቀላል ነው:: ችሎታና ላፕቶፕ ያለው ማንም ኢትዮጵያዊ ድርሻውን ቢወጣ በየአደባባዩ እንጣጥ እንጣጥ የሚሉትን አደብ ባስያዙ::

    ተኮላ ያፈቀደውን ለመጻፍ መብት የለውም እንዳላልኩ ይታወቅልኝ:: ተኮላ ግን ስውር ህወሓት አጀንዳውን በመትከል ሊያወናብደን ግን መፍቀድ የለብንም:: ወቅቱ የሚጠይቀው በኢኮኖሚና በፖለቲካ ረገድ እየተፈጸመ ያለውን ግፍ ለድጋፍ ሰጭዎቹ የአሜሪካና እንግሊዝ ሕዝቦች/ፖሊሲ አርቃቂዎች በመረጃ አስደግፎ ግልጽ በሆነ ቋንቋ ማስተማር ነው:: ህወሓት “አገር ሰላም, ሁለት አሃዝ እድገት” ተረቱ የብዙሃኑን ሕዝብ ሰቆቃ [እየተሰደደ ያለውን ሥራ ያጡትን ወጣት ዜጎች, የህወሓት አባላትን መፈንጨትና ዝርፍያና ክህደት] አይወክልም ማለት ይገባል:: ይህን ስል የህወሓት ኦፊሴላዊ መረጃ አይቼ የጎሳ ፌደራሊዝም ፖሊሲ ያስከተለውን እንደ ማንም ተመራማሪ ተመልክቼ ነው:: ለምሳሌ, ህወሓት በየትኛውም ክልል ንግድ ማካሄድ ይችላል; ሌሎቹ ግን ከክልላቸው ውጭ [በትግራይማ ፈጽሞ] ሊሳተፉ አይችሉም:: አዲስ ሕግ ከመርቀቁ አስቀድሞ የህወሓት አባላት ስለሚያውቁት በንግድ ዘርፉ እኩል ተሳትፎ የለም:: አንድ የትግራይ ገበሬ የራሱን እርሻ በማረሱ ከቀይ መስቀል, ከክልላዊ መንግሥትና ከውጭ እርዳታ ተጠቃሚ ነው!! የትግራይ ሕዝብ ቢጠቀም መልካም ነው; ሌላው ሕዝብ ግን ተመልካችና ተመጽዋች ይሁን? ደደቢት ለምን የአዲሲቱ ኢትዮጵያ ሕዝብ ታሪክ መነሻ ይደረግ? ከትግራይ ለምን ሕዝብ በአውቶቡስ ተግዞ ቤኒሻንጉል-ጉሙዝ ይሰፍራል [በዚህ ከቀጠለ በአምስት ዓመት ጊዜ ውስጥ የቤኒሻንጉል ሕዝብ አብላጫውና የኢኮኖሚና የፖለቲካ የበላይነት የትግራይ ተወላጆች ይሆናል!] ይኸ ጉዳይ በዛሬይቱ ኢትዮጵያ የለት ተለት እውነታ እየሆነ ነው:: ሌላውን ለሌላ ጊዜ::

  3. ano
    | #3

    This professor need to think clearly for his own exit strategy. You have a choice to make. One think clearly by discerning the times and gaging Ethiopian public opinion and amend your way. Two, or consider going back to TPLF and be her last hour advisor. But you can not ,as you do this days, continue to trivialize the public’s resolve on this forums with out being referred as one who lost his direction

  4. Tecola W Hagos
    | #4

    ዓለም፤ ከጽሑፎችህ የተረዳሁት የአንተ አእምሮና ስብእና የታነፀው በተቀዳሚና በአሳፋሪ መልኩ በጠባብ ዘረኛነት ላይ መሆኑን ነው። በዚያላይ በራስህ ችሎታ ፍጹም እምነት የሌለህ በመሆኑ፤ ቁም ነገሩን ትተህ በአጉል የሰዎችን የትምህርት ደረጃ ስታሰላስል ጉም ዘጋኝ ሁነሀል። ይልቅስ ጠንቀቅ ብለህ አንብብ። ዕውቀት ከትምህርት ቤት ብቻ አይደለም የሚገኘው፤ ዓይኖችህን ከከፈትካቸው፤ አካባቢህ ሁሉ የዕውቀት ምንጭ ነው።

    I have absolutely no connection with the current Ethiopian Government or the TPLF or the EPRDF. Regrettably, I do not have any formal connection with any of the opposition organizations. On a personal level, I do know some of the Diaspora political leaders. Alem is grossly out of line and insulting personally to me, claiming that I have some kind of a mission from the TPLF. I suspect that Alem is a TPLF or Shabia agent/implant. He hides behind a false name and throws defamatory dart at people.

    I have a single interest right now: the preservation of Ethiopia in its sovereignty and territorial integrity. I do not want any Ethiopian get hurt by a ruthless Government, due to prematurely demonstrating without proper organization. It is easy for infiltraters like Alem to wear the national colors while planting seeds of dissonance and conflict as was the case during the student movement of the 1960s and 1970s where naïve ill-informed students were being feed high sounding ideal democratic ideas, while the real effort by the enemies of Ethiopia was to destroy the very foundation of Ethiopia itself. We have suffered for over forty years for our political immaturity and ignorance of what was really at steak. Do not listen to individuals, like Alem, who do not disclose their identity and are on an anti-Ethiopian nationalism mission.

    Tecola W Hagos

  5. Dawi
    | #5

    Abegaz said:

    [[..First Adhanom speaks in a manner not embarrassing to Ethiopians. He is far civilized on his talking points. Our forefathers have protocols on how to speak even to their enemies..]]

    I like Adhanom too on his own merit not by comparing him to HD.

    I think the great leader Meles chose HD not because he is highly educated or grew up admiring the “vision” but probably because he is also different from the typical “highlanders” Amara, Tigre personality.

    “our forefathers ..Protocols” have kept us independent against all odds but, we need a different set of mind for development and maybe HD has the quality of being less hard headed and has what it takes to take us there. I have a feeling he does.

  6. አለም
    | #6

    @Tecola W Hagos
    አዬ ተኮላ, 1/የዘር ፌዴራሊዝም በኢትዮጵያ የለም እያልክ ነው? 2/ እርግጥ እንዳልከው እውቀት በትምህርት ቤት ብቻ አይደለም; ታዲያ ይህንን ስታውቅ በአቡጊዳ ላይ እነ ፕሮፌሰር አለማየሁን ማንቋሸሽ ለምን አስፈለገህ? እንዲህ ብለህ ነበር- “… I will not dwell that much about his credentials that he [Meles] attended an open university, for such form of evaluation is neither here or there. Who is going to say Meles was any less intelligent because he did not attend the University of Maryland like Alemayehu did. If I were Alemayehu I would not care to mention the University of Maryland especially when I am in the company of individuals who studied at Harvard, Yale, Oxford, or Georgetown.” እኔም አባባልህ ስለ ገረመኝና ስላስቆጣኝ ስላንተ ላጣራ ፈለግሁ; ጎበዝ እንደሆንህ አልካድኩም, የሌለህን ማዕረግ ስትደፋ አይቼ ግን አፈርኩብህ; የፕሮፌሰር አለማየሁንም አጣራሁ, ሳንዲየጎ ፕሮፌሰርና የሕግ ጠበቃ መሆኑን አጣራሁ:: ኃጢአቴ ምኑ ላይ ነው:: 3/ ስለ እኔ የምታውቀው ሳይኖርህ ዘባረቅህ; ከህወሓት የምታገኘው የገንዘብ ጥቅም አለ ላልኩት ሻቢያ ነህ አልከኝ [ሻቢያ ካልሆነ እንዲህ ዓይነቱን ምሥጢር የሚያውቅ የለም ብለህ ይመስለኛል]; እስቲ የጻፍኩትን ደግመህ አንብብ ወይም ሌላ ሰው ያንብብልህ, እኔ ሻቢያ ወይም ህወሓት እንዳልሆንኩ ያስረዱሃል; 4/ ደግሞ “ህወሓት አይደለሁም” ማለትህ አለማፈርህ! “በምርጫ ተባበሩ” የምትል ጉደኛ! “ፈሪ ለናቱ” ያገለግላል ሰላማዊ ሰልፍ አታድርጉ ህወሓትን አትቃወሙ ስትል አታፍርም? እስክንድር አሳቡን ያለፍርሃት መግለጹ መለስና ህወሓትን ስላስፈራቸው ሽብርተኛ ብለው አሠሩት; ምንም ሳትል ኖረህ, ይፈታ ግን አገሩን ለቆ ይሰደድ አልክ; ትዝ ይልሃል ወይስ ልጥቀስልህ? ስለ ስዬ ያልከውንስ? ኃ/ማርያም ጠ/ሚ እንዳይሆን ያልከውንስ? ኋላ ህወሓት ማበላሸቱን ሲያበዛ ሥልጣን የሌለው ኃ/ማ ጥፋተኛ ነው ያልከውስ? ኢትዮጵያውያን ብሶታቸውን በሕግ መፍታት አለባቸው, ፍ/ቤቶች ሥራቸውን በሚገባ ያከናውናሉ ያልካትስ? የምትገርም ፍጥረት ነህ! የደበቅኸውን ጽሑፎች ለሕዝብ አቅርብ ስትባል ስለ ቴክኖሎጂ ምንም የማናውቅ መስሎህ የዌብማስተሬን የግል ጉዳይ እዚህ ውስጥ አላስገባም አልክ; ኢትዮጵያ ኤብማሲ ከሚገኝበት ከዋሽንግተን ዲሲ እንደምትገኝ ነግረኸናልና በአድራሻህ ዌብሳይትህን ለመክፈት ገንዘብ ብልክልህ, ገንዘቡን በእጅ እንዲያስረክቡህ ባደርግ, በርክክቡ ወቅት ፎቶግራፍ ባስነሳ ቅር ይልሃል? ምን ምክንያት ትሰጥ ይሆን ደግሞ? ይህን ሁላ የምለው ሰዎች ስትጽፍ የኖርኸውን እንዲያውቁ ከመሻት ነው 5/ እነ አማርትያ ሴን ስለ መጽሐፌ ይህን አስተያየት ሰጥተውኝ ችሎታዬን አድንቀዋል ያልካትን ብዙ ሰው ስለ አካዴሚያ ፖለቲካ ብዙም መረዳት ስለሌለው ሌላ ጊዜ እመለስበታለሁ, 5/ ሌሎች ከኔ ባይበልጡም ከኔ ያላነሰ እውቀት ሊኖራቸው ይችላል ማለትን ልመድ; የተናገርካትን ወዲያው ትርሳና እንዲህ ብለሃል ስትባል መካድና መሳደብ ትጀምራለህ;

    ለአቡጊዳ ተሳታፊዎች, አቡጊዳ የለጠፋቸውን የተኮላን ጽሑፎች ወደ ኋላ ሄዳችሁ እንደገና አንብቡ; በእርሱ ፊታውራሪነት ከዋና አጀንዳ የሚያዘናጉ ጉዳዮችን ሲጽፍ እራሱና አበሮቹ በብእር ስም እንደ ዝንብ በየገጹ ሠፍረው ፋታ ሲነሱን እንደኖሩ ማስረጃ ታግኛላችሁ:: በርግጠኛነት ልለው የምችለው ይህንን ነው- ተኮላ በአንድ ለአምስት ስልት እየሰራ ስለሆነ ልብ ያለው አገር ወዳድ ሁሉ እንዳይወናበድ ይጠንቀቅ;

    የወቅቱ ጉዳይ ምንድነው? 1/ ለአሜሪካና እንግሊዝ ሕዝብ እየተደረገ ያለውን ግፍና ዘረፋ ማሳወቅና ማስተማር 2/ ላፕቶፕ ያላቸው አገር ወዳዶች በያሉብት በየችሎታቸው ይህን ማድረግ ይችላሉ, ህወሓት በየዜና ማሰራጫው የሚያጭበረብረውን ዝም ብሎ ማለፍ ሳይሆን አጸፋውን መስጠት 3/ አገር ቤት ለሚታገሉት ድምጽ መሆን 4/ “ስላምና ልማት” ቅጥፈት መሆኑን ከሚሰደዱ ወገኖቻችን ኑሮ ለመነገጃ ከዋሉት እህቶቻችን ከታሰሩት ሰቆቃ አንጻት ለዓለም ማሳወቅ 5/ ተኮላና ህወሓት ይቺን ይፈሯታልና በስድብ ዝም ሊያሰኙን ይቃጣቸዋል!! 6/ ምርጫ የተባለው ሲጭበረበርና ወገኖቻችን በሳቢያው ሲታሰሩ ለዓለም ለማስታወቅ ምን ዝግጅት እየተደረገ ነው? 7/ የከንግዲህ ትግል ስልት የስድብና ቁጣ ብቻ ሳይሆን መረጃና አሳማኝነት ያለው አቀራረብ ፐብሊክ ርሌሽንስ ትግል ነው:: የአሜሪካና እንግሊዝ ሕዝቦች አክቲቭስቶችን ማመን ይቸግራቸዋል; አገራቸውንና ፍትህ የሚወዱ ኢትዮጵያውያን ወዴት ይሆኑ?

  7. Abegaz
    | #7

    Personal criticism to Prof is not acceptable. Criticize his ideas and provide solutions. One thing is obvious: The TPLF and allied parties dislike Prof. Tecola more than any other group.

  8. Dawi
    | #8

    Professor Messay in his last interview with ESAT Television said, if there is anyone in Ethiopia that actually believes in a developmental state of Ethiopia, it must be only the former PM Meles because he always thought he had a bigger head than anybody else. :-)

    As HD the disciple has a bigger head (literally speaking!) I say, he must be the second person the Prof. missed from mentioning as another guy that believes in the same mantra. :)

    Having said that, with all TPLF/EPRDF draw backs mentioned by #6 well taken, the one thing they are wining or ahead of everyone else is the economic front.

    What Meles emulated was the East Asian model of countries like South Korea.

    The model has two elements:

    Liberal economic policy; opens as much of the economy to FDI, spend money in building infrastructure; lease some huge lands to kick start commercial agriculture etc.

    The second element we all agree with is, keep the party with firm grip of the government, the courts, the army, security and media.

    In short, so far what we see is a reasonabe economic freedom plus on and off political repression. The system is better than the past regimes specially in one aspect; it shall produce economic growth which eventually makes people happy, similar to the East Asians.

    The model has worked in S Korea and is working in China and other places therefore; it is a proven success concept.

    So if we don’t dwell too much on the past ills as in #6 but, form a united front and concentrate on at least the economic development, we can avoid being “like Syria” per Prof. Messay.

    BTW, Meles’s thesis on the subject included the “democratic” side of developmental state; offcourse that remains to be further worked on by HD.

  9. Abegaz
    | #9

    I like Dawi’s twisted argument to defend EPRDF. He is giving an intellectual reasoning which the clueless EPRDFites failed to manage except throwing bullets on very peaceful resistance. I wish Dawi, who enjoys western democracy, advises the EPRDF at least to respect the rule of law and fulfill basic needs of its subjects. We can give time to ponder on the subject of “democracy.”

    Dawi, HD is a disastrous leader. Lets agree on that. He may be good in maths and related subjects but not n politics and political leadership or economics either. Come on Dawi, do not defend everything of the EPRDF. Any of the fighters who took the Albanian communism course in Dedebit are good enough relative to HD. He is so green that if what he has spoken is translated to English,and world leaders hear it, they will be sorry for the country.

  10. Dawi
    | #10

    አለም said:

    [[.. ተኮላ ቅርብ ጊዜ የነፕሮፌሰር አለማየሁን የትምህርት አቅም ሲያጥላላ እንደ ነበር አንብበናል;..]]

    As Prof Al was questioning school credentials of others. Prof Tecola was telling him that he didn’t go to Ivy League school either to calm him down. That was the truth nothing less.

    [[..የኢትዮጵያውያን ዋነኛ ችግር የነግንቦት 7/ኤርትራ/ዶክተር ብርሃኑ ግራ ጥላቻ, ዓላማየለሽና ፍሬ አልባ የሥልጣን ጥመኛ ፖለቲካ ነው:: ኢሳት የኢትዮጵያ ሕዝብ ታሪኩንና መብቱን አበክሮ እንዲያውቅ ማድረግ ሲገባው እንደ ህወሓት ጥላቻና መረጃ የጎደለው ቅጥፈት ሲያስተጋባ ይደመጣል..]]

    As you are opposing both TPLF/EPRDF,the above types of opposition and the likes of alternative suggestion of Prof. Tecola put forward, where are you trying to take us besides the Syria route?

  11. Dawi
    | #11

    [[..አዬ ተኮላ, 1/የዘር ፌዴራሊዝም በኢትዮጵያ የለም እያልክ ነው?..]]

    On paper only yes but, in the day to day world of Ethiopia there is NOT.

    Prof. Messay and others have attested to that. EPRDF is more centralized than the former “communist” Derg regime itself. That is because HD’s (አንድ ለአምስት አደረጃጀት)one member recruits five new people.

    BTW, Abegaz – HD is credited for the creation of – አንድ ለአምስት አደረጃጀት- And you thought he is a small potato! :-)

    Regardless, I genuinely like the fellow. May be it is because my experience with Southern Ethiopian folks here in US has always been positive; I understand that is my bias.

    The following is the quote:

    “After his tenure as President of the SNNPR, Hailemariam worked in the Prime Minister’s Office as the advisor on Social Affairs and Civic Organizations and Partnerships for two years. He led the team that drafted the Charities and Societies Proclamation law (CSO law) that limits the interference of international non-governmental organizations (NGOs) in local political activities. The law was adopted by the Ethiopian Parliament in 2009. He is also credited in pushing EPRDF to re-organize its structure after the contentious 2005 elections via the ’1-to-5′ model (one member recruits five new people – አንድ ለአምስት አደረጃጀት) that boosted the number of party membership from 400,000 to 5 million by 2010 elections. In 2010, Hailemariam was sworn into dual ministerial positions as Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs.”

  12. Abegaz
    | #12

    No Dawi,

    one for five kind of organization was masterminded by Meles. HD has no such level of sophistication. The only positive thing about HD is he calls his country, his country. HD without Bereket and Abay Tsehaye is a ship captain without a compass or without today’s GPS technology. He is so ignorant in everything. He reminds me of my old friend who was very smart in maths and physics but miserably failed on subjects like political economy, history,geography, psychology. Meles was a also a clever science student but all rounded unlike HD. That is what is needed in a leadership role. Meles is just the evil genius. He is not stupid like HD. I think HD should go back to Awassa and become listro to borrow his own words. He once said, “I would work as listro if my party wants me to do so.” Let him get civilized by fellow listros first.

    Yes, southerners are good people. No doubt on that. But HD is not one of them. That is my assessment and also proved it through discussion with my southerners friends.

  13. Dawi
    | #13


    All I know is what is documented gives the credit of growing EPRDF from 400,000 to 5,000,000 million members to HD. If you have another fact, let us see it.

    I would say Meles was probably so impressed he gave him the dual ministerial positions of Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs for the accomplishment. We can’t expect “the evil genius” giving away anything let alone something he worked for a life time to some “momo kilo”? as you seem to be suggesting here; it just doesn’t make any sense.

    Secondly, did you notice how HD gets animated talking about “developmental state” achievements?

    That is his economic sense of things.

    I have to say he is a “developmental state junky from the way he talks in his news conferences; in the last one he said, when the 9 or so sugar factories are complete they will end up becoming “milking cows” forever!. :-) Further more, as he is an Engineer, notice how much he gets excited talking about METEC; he told the journalists, we are not just installing factories but we are building the factories ourselves to knowledge transfer as the East Asians. METEC is building tanks, drones, rockets etc. They are getting ready to blast the first serious of rockets to space. [If you think I am kidding read today’s news] in the following.

  14. aha!
    | #14

    To Prof. Tecola @ 4, & to Alem @3 6. There are two ideologies in Ethiopia since after the down fall of the Derg regime in Ethiopia, in temrs of political models of the party alignments, the constitution with the ideologies of ethnic federalism, secessionism and totalitarianism and or/state capitalism along with the loyal opposition parties like OPDO/Medrek /EUDF/fdre with objectives for respect for ethnic roghts, “yekili Mengistats iqulinet mebit Mekeber, human rights, a common denominatoer and democracy” vs Ethiopian Nationalism for unity, territorial integrity, sovereignity of Ethiopia and Ethiopians, where the last item refers to individual rights to exceed ethnic and secessionist rights and the reflective thinking of Ethiopians as a whole to be geared towards Ethiopiawinet first and ones ethnicity second, put the national interest ahead of ones self interest to save Ethiopia from the current negative forces of disintegration. It is within these two paradigms ones view points expressed in writing is categorized, in the absence. It does not matter which paradigms one falls into as long as one clarifies ones own stand and comes with a logical explanation of the common good that comes out it to the silent majority of Ethiopians that have been subjected to humanitarian, political, economic and environmental crises, absent of individual (political and economic)freedom, under ethnic dictatorship, minority now and majority in the future to the demise of Ethiopian Nationalism.

  15. aha!
    | #15

    Dawi @ #8: You have refined your argument about “Developmental State Theory as the economic model, this time around in connection with HD, the Prime Minster, circumvented by three deputy prime minsters of the TPLF Politburo, as strong proponent of Developmental State theory, while you failed to mention, the Prime minster as proponent for ethnic federalism and secessionism, a hall mark of the TPLF/eprdf regime, as a political model, which you described as TPLF/EPRDF, which Prof. Tecola Hagos refers to as “Ethiopian Government”. The connotations behind that political model are: 1) the regime is a conglomerate of ex-liberation fronts which fought against HIM’s Government and Derg Military dictatorship with totalitarianism, economic model, with a constitution of ethnic federalism/ethnic homelands, and secessionism built into the constitution, where the former is a prelude to secessionism, future boundary conflicts among the major ethnic groups and an ongoing ethnic cleansing in the absence of independent branches of government to debate over laws derived from the constitution, to arbiter over election disputes, to assign independent election board, to initiate a fair trial and to allow for peaceful protest and to allow debate over political dissent without being labeled as terrorists and incarcerated with the help of security, federal police forces and the killil administrators only as a means of staying power as the expense of humanitarian crises, which operates contrary to democratic governments, which served as life support to the TPLF/eprdf regime, that operates in direct contrast to Ethiopian Nationalism for unity, territorial integrity, sovereignty of Ethiopia and Ethiopians, where the last item refers to individual rights to exceed ethnic and secessionist rights for a truly democratic government to prevail, which is considered as a treason to challenge the constitution of ethnic federalism, secessionism and totalitarianism and /or State capitalism, a political and economic model that denies the silent majority of Ethiopians individual freedom, liberty and equality as well as free market capitalism to silent majority of Ethiopians, where totalitarianism, a carry over from the Derg regime denies the silent majority of Ethiopians private ownership of land anywhere in Ethiopia as one of the means of production and as means of accumulating wealth by way of transaction of Real Estate, than adopting totalitarianism as the economic model.

    Supper imposed on totalitarianism, is the newly created “state capitalism/Developmental state theory, which is managed by TPLF/Political, with capital infusion from western democratic governments and IMF funds for infrastructural development under taken by crony capitalism of TPLF/Political, TPLF/EFFORT, TPLF affiliated enterprises, and foreign corporations in terms of contracts for infrastructure development and land leases, all of which are engaged in exploitations and economic strangle hold of the natural and human resources of the country, a set up that gives the TPLF/eprdf regime the profile/resemblance of ex-apartheid regime of ex-South African regime.

    If these Developmental State theory continues with western capital under the control of the TPLF Politburo and self rule of ethnic homelands, without ratifying the constitution and resorting to the original provincial boundaries with assorted ethnic groups in each Provinces and developing the natural resources according to ecological regions such as the Rift valley as one ecological region, and bringing individual rights ahead of ethnic rights as the center piece of the constitution, we have to kiss democracy, a rule by the people of the people and for the people goodbye in preference to ethnic rule and/or ethnic dictatorship. Developmental State Theory may be good if the government is a democratic government elected by the people and rules by the consent of the people it governs and serves as a steward of the natural resources and set rules and regulation for its use and conservation, not as perpetrator of humanitarian, economic, political and environmental crises to say the least about rampant inflation, abject poverty and higher unemployment, let alone lack of peace of mind as if Developmental State theory is panacea to all these crises befalling the silent majority of Ethiopians.

    What do we have the previous regimes to blame for that have educated all these elites in the diaspora from elementary to higher education with the help of USAID but of lesser amount than the TPLF/eprdf regime, where the downfall of Monarchic system was to its inability to deal with the land reform, the droughts of the late eighties, and inflation and wage increases fought by EPRP and others, while the cohorts of the current regime were fighting against the oppression of nations and nationalities, where the former is class struggle and the latter was a struggle of liberation of nations and nationalities from ether the HIMS and the Derg regimes, which resulted into the current TPLF/eprdf regime, with pending skirmishes of war against the ethnic secessionism, which, the regime stipulated in the constitution in Article 39 (1), which an additional head ache in addition to the peaceful struggle for Ethiopian Nationalism with the goals for unity, territorial integrity, sovereignty of Ethiopia and Ethiopians with strategies to achieve those goals, although no strategies have not yet being formulated.

    Under the precedence set above

  16. woyane is in crisis -politically and financially?
    | #16

    አቡጊዳ አስተያየት አስተናጋጅ ሆይ
    ፕሮ የሚሰጡት አስተያየት ውሸትን መሰረት በማድረጉ ያቀረብኩላቸውን ጥያቄና አስተያየት ለምን አነሳችሁት?
    ፕሮ በምርጫ መሳተፍ ተገቢ መሆኑን ሲያስረዱን
    ለመሆኑ ወያኔ በምርጫ ነው ስልጣን ላይ የወጣው ማለታቸው ነው? ወይስ 20 አመት በስልጣን ላይ የበሰበሰ መንግስት በምርጫ እያሸነፈ ነው የሚሉን? ወይስ ሕዝብ በምርጫ አሸንፎ አያውቅም ነው የሚሉት?
    ትምህርታቸውን ጥያቄ ውስጥ የሚያስገባ ጽሁፍ በማቅረባቸው ቅሬታየን ብገልጽ ለምን ለጥፋችሁት ፕሮ መልስ እንዲሰጡ አታረጉም?
    አስተያየቴኮ ውሸት ለውይይት ሲቀርብ ንቀት መሆኑን ላስረዳቸውኮ ነው አይደለም ካላችሁ
    አፍቃሪያችሁ ነኝና በወሎ መጀን ፕሮ ሲጀነጅኑን ዝም ብሎ መጀንጀን ጅንኖች ያስኛልና ለፕሮ እንዲያነቡ አርጋቸው
    አንብበን እንድንተቻቸው አይደለም የሚፈልጉት? ካልሆነ ብእራቸው እናንተ ሰሌዳ ላይ ለምን ተነጠፈ?
    በሉ አስተያተን በቦታው መልሳት!!!

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