THE TRUMP TSUNAMI By Imeru Zeleke

August 28th, 2015 Print Print Email Email

As an ordinary citizen I watch the news on TV, and read about it on the papers. A new Presidential election has started in a world that is changing in many aspects of national and international life. Scientific and technical innovations have also transformed the balance of power with a new array of political and economic forces. The whole political debate on both the right and left sides seems to be muddled, Sen. Sanders advocating a highly socialized program and by the Trump explosion on the right. There are some points in their announced programs that I could support, what worries me is their applicability in the real world.

From the Democratic Party I can’t visualize how the US can be turned into some sort of pseudo-socialist state or with what electoral majority could this be achieved? With the confused and angry political mood prevailing in the country, I doubt if the country is ready for such radical change. A democratic party coming to power may continue to enact some of the progressive social measures that have been introduced by the Obama administration. It will be a continuation of present policies with probably some innovations, but nothing revolutionary.

Ms Clinton, the eminent candidate of the Democratic Party, could have been more aggressive and less hesitant in explaining herself and her policies. People are frustrated and dejected by all the political shenanigan and gerrymandering taking place in Washington; that has given undue influence to narrowly based rightists groups. There is no doubt that the country needs a mature, pragmatic and dynamic leadership that will bring the political establishment out of the antagonist squabble that it has paralyzed the nation. Ms Clinton and the Democratic Party must show vigorously a vision that will inspire and motivate people to counter the vicious campaign directly against her. It might also be worth to look for other candidates.

From the Republican right I find Mr. Trump’s programs simply fascinating when it comes to their implementation. Hereunder some of the problems I foresee:

1. He wants to deport all the ii (11) million, almost 34 million by Mr. Trump counts, illegal immigrants with their families with their belongings, for which compensation may have to be paid or be legally confiscated by a congressional act. Then the eleven million must be found and collected somewhere in appropriate well guarded camps around the country. After which they will have be identified and sorted out by nationality, and then transported to their home of origin. To this end a large logistical apparatus must be put in place, probably equal to ten army divisions with all the necessary paraphernalia.

2. At this point the countries to which the US intends to send them back, will certainly not recognize them as their citizens and will refuse to accept them. They have plenty of unemployment and poverty of their own without adding re-immigrant from the US. In which case the options left for Mr. Trump would be: a) to declare war to those refusing countries and invade them, or: b) pay trillions of dollars to settle them wherever possible, to the great satisfaction of the American tax-payers who will foot the bill. On the domestic front the substantial role of the illegal have as workers and consumers will leave a gap that will have to be replaced, hopefully without disastrous shortcomings.

3. A deadly problem, even bigger and more harmful to the health of the nation is the 200 hundred billion $ drug trade, a problem that Mr. Trump or any other candidate finds worth mentioning.

4. As to the problems in Iraq, Syria, Palestine, Isis, terrorists and the kind Mr. Trump solution is simple, he will send the army to wipe them out of existence and replace them with some US dictated order to the Muslim world.

5. Ukraine – ditto, he will build up the US military presence in Europe, get the EU and NATO to shape up and tell Putin and his Mujiks to get out of Crimea and withdraw from the Ukraine? Concomitantly he means to withdraw the army from i.e. Europe, Korea, Japan Middle East, and Africa, on the other hand he wants to send the army to Iraq/Syria and wipe out ISIS. He wants to reinforce the armed forces, and then he says that he wants to reduce US military commitment around the world.

6. China – Mr. Trump will bring back all the US jobs lost to China. How and by what means? Chinese labor cost at best 85 percent less than US labor. Will US labor work with similar wages? Will US raise import taxes on Chinese goods? China trade and economic presence, including large investments and projects is worldwide and expanding, is a trade embargo feasible? US owe China 1.4 trillion dollars, how is that to be paid? What are Mr. Trump solutions for these issues?

7. About women having been marries three times, he has certainly a lot experience on the subject. He can be trusted to handle the issue “judiciously”.

8. On immigration he talks about expelling first the illegal that commit crimes, and give the police free hand to do it. With a police that is already
militarized and that has shown prejudice and violent hostility against minorities and sundry parties, chasing “illegal” will be tantamount to unleashing all sorts of violations of the law and legal practices.

9. The wall he will build will be twenty feet high, beautiful and impregnable. However, it is most likely that the “illegal” entrepreneurs will not try to climb over it; instead they will be using the sea shore as new routes. Which means setting special naval forces to guard the US coast from South to North along the East and West shores? Not an easy task considering the amount of space and distances involved.

10. Mr. Trump has radical solutions for everything at home and abroad, one thing for sure is that we are going to have another world-war. There is also the danger that Trump maybe carried over by his own rhetoric and end up with some sort of fascist dictatorship. It reminds me of the rise of Mussolini and Hitler to Fascism/Nazism, extremism gives birth to extremism.

11. He wants to take back the country, from whom? He wants America to be great again! We all agree about that. However, the problem is that the US has the biggest economy and most powerful military in the world. It is still the most free, advanced and innovative nation in the world. What is the new greatness to be? A world domination?

12. Mr Trump is a very intelligent man, he did not build up a fortune by being stupid. He says that he is a deal maker and that he is flexible, which leaves a lot of room for anything and everything.

tewbel@aol.com

  1. Ittu Aba Farda
    | #1

    Excellent article!!!

    In regards to bringing factories back to the USA from China, I think there is some substance in it. When many corporations or companies decided to move some of their factories to China or Mexico, in a lot of cases it was not because they were losing money. It was rather for the fact that there was very cheap skilled labor that can do the job with little or no training. In China’s case there was a huge surplus of engineers and literate labor ready to be had. I know one from my own experience in the early 1980′s. One of our divisions had more labor intensive process and was the least money making one. It was still profitable with a profit margin of 18-20% after all absorption was applied. But the other 3 divisions were in the upper 30′s to mid 40′s. It was also the target a labor union. My lead foreman and I were sent to set up a factory close to Shenzhen in 1982. We came back after almost 4 months when the Chinese were trained enough to do the work. The sadness I felt was immense. I was sad because I wished I could have trained people from my former homeland. But that was the time when Ethiopia was one of the most undesirable countries for foreign investment and ruled by a bloodthirsty thug by the name Mengistu lambasting, blubbering with all his stinking boot about everything and anything that has to with the West. But the division we moved was not a losing factory.

    Now the table is gradually turning. Labor in China is not as cheap anymore. A lot of factories can be brought back with some legislative reliefs. That is why the Chinese government is going full throttle in pressing many companies over there to move their factories to Africa. I think Trump could be in the right in this case.

    But when it comes to illegal immigrants, I am not sure how he is going to do it. The number is all over the place. Some say 11 million and other put the number more than 30 million. I agree with the later estimate. By the way, mass deportation is not unheard of. It was done in the 1910′s. 1930′s. 1940′s and during the Eisenhower presidency. But then the main source was Mexico and it was carried only by trains. This time the sources can be all over the map. It is an issue someone has to come up with amicable solution sooner or later.

  2. Sam
    | #2

    Imeru wrote mostly about Trump who aspires to be president. What he has written was pretty much in the news. Like most Americans he wondered rightly whether his political dose for the nation is workable. Yes, Trump and his supporters are traveling in fantasy world right now. How far they keep dreaming to create an America of their desire? Not for long. Reasonable people, whom the majority of Americans are, will prevail in the end. I however disagree with Imeru with one of his prediction. He wrote ” Trump maybe carried over by his own rhetoric and end up with some sort of fascist dictatorship. It reminds me of the rise of Mussolini and Hitler.” Take a deep breath, Imeru. That is not going to happen. In the beginning of 1940′s the German political situation was fertile for a person of Hitler’s political caliber to exploit. Germany, burdened by debt as the result of starting the first World War, was in economic downfall. The German money practically became useless. The political atmosphere was ripe for fascists to exploit. That very condition does not exist in present day America. Besides, in American politics a president does not have a complete monopoly of power. A president has to deal with congress. If chose to be a dictator, the House of Representative and the Senate has the power to impeach him. In American politics an individual, even a president, to have it his own way all the time is not possible.

  3. ዘረ-ያዕቖብ ወ.ግ.ዓ.ም-ፅዮን The Eth.Korrektiv Therapeut
    | #3

    “የመሀል አገር ሰው መልእክት ለትግራይ ሰው”

    “የትግራይ ሰዎች ሕወሓትን የሚመርጡ የሚመስሉት ሌላ የሚያምኑት ባለማግኘታቸው ነው፡፡”

    ተጋሩ የሚታመንን እማ ያጡት ከዘመነ “የጣልያን ጠላቶች የኛም ጠላቶች ናቸው” ጀምሮ እስከዚች ደቂቃ, ማለትም የ’DC ከማሌሊት ጉቦ ተቀብለው በትግራይ ህዝብ እና ቛንቛ ላይ ዓክታቸዉን ለዳፊዎች ጉድፍና ጊዜ ድረስ እኮ ነው! ለመግባባት ከከጀለን, መግባባትን ከስር መሰረቱ እንያዘው! አለበለዚያ ሲሮጡ የታጠቁት, ሲሮጡ ይፈታል እንዳይሆንብንና ማሌሊትም እስከ ምንጋጋዋ ድረስ እየሳቀች የ’40 ዓመትዋን በትግራይ ህዝብ ላይ ጭፈራ ሌሎቹንም እየጨማመረችበት ወደ 400 ዓመታት እንዳይራዘምላት !

    ሌላ መረሳት የሌለበት ጉዳይ ደግሞ, ማሌሊት ለDC በትግራይ ህዝብ እና ቛንቛ ላይ ዓክታ ደጋፊዎች ጉቦ ማጉረስ ብቻ ሳይሆን ችለታዋ, የራስዋን ሰዎችን እስከነ እስር ቤቶች ሁሉ ማሾለክን ትችልበታለች! ስለሆነም ነገሮችን በሙሉ በከፍተኛ ጥልቀት ማመዛዘን ሊያስፈልገን ነው:: በተረፈ መልካም የመግባባት በር ማንኳኳት ይሁንልን! Unity in diversity!

  4. trump
    | #4

    Trump has a better policy than obama or all the democrats put together. america has officially become the land of sodom and gommorah where homosexuals are dominating every aspect of life in the country. satan has broken loose in the country.

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